Conflict intelligence
Russia–Ukraine War
Coverage connected by published editorial metadata.
Analysis
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The Ukraine Front Line in 2026: Where the War Actually Stands
Russian forces have not taken Pokrovsk. Ukraine advanced at Kupyansk. Infiltration replaced assault. What the front actually looks like in 2026.
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Ukraine's Drone Industry: From Seven Companies to Five Hundred
Seven drone makers in 2022. Around 500 now. Four million units produced in 2025, seven million targeted for 2026 — the fastest defence-industrial scale-up on record.
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Western Weapons in Ukraine: What Worked and What Didn't
Leopard 2 armour was never penetrated frontally — 57% of the 2A6 tranche was still lost. A verdict on Western systems by what the evidence actually shows.
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Ukraine's Air Defence: The Interception Arithmetic
Ukraine intercepts 87% of drones and 15% of ballistic missiles. The Patriots ran out on 1 July. The interceptor drone is now the load-bearing pillar.
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Deep Strike: Ukraine's Long-Range Campaign Inside Russia
Ukraine has hit every one of Russia's largest refineries. Estimates of capacity disabled range from 20% to 43% — and the range itself is the story.
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Shahed-136: The Drone That Broke Air Defence Budgets
A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
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Fibre-Optic Drones: The Unjammable Weapon
A glass thread thinner than a hair defeated the most extensive tactical EW in the world. Spools now reach 65 km. The limitations nobody mentions.
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Drone Swarms and Autonomy: Where the Line Actually Is
Most "AI swarm" claims describe automation, not autonomy. CSIS found no verifiable evidence Russian swarming has been fielded. What has been, and what hasn't.
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Russia's War Economy: How Long Can It Actually Last
Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
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The Russian Army Rebuilt: What Four Years of War Produced
Putin says 700,000 in Ukraine — the same as mid-2024. Contract signings fell 20% year-on-year. Russia adapted its doctrine and hit a recruitment wall.
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Russian Electronic Warfare: The Counter-Drone Race
Russia entered 2022 with the most extensive tactical EW of any military. Fibre-optic drones made it irrelevant in one mission set — and spoofing crossed into NATO airspace.
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Russia's Nuclear Signalling: Reading the Actual Doctrine
New START expired in February 2026. The 2024 doctrine lowered the threshold. What the text actually says, what the signalling is for, and where the limits are.