RIX-2026-029 · 2026-09-12
RAGE INDEX — 12 September 2026
RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH). Middle East and Eastern Europe pinned at 100 as a drone strike from Iraqi territory hits a Saudi oil pipeline.
A scored, theater-by-theater read on global conflict risk — bands, 24-hour change and escalation indicators. Decode. Dominate. Deliver.
28 editions
RIX-2026-029 · 2026-09-12
RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH). Middle East and Eastern Europe pinned at 100 as a drone strike from Iraqi territory hits a Saudi oil pipeline.
RIX-2026-028 · 2026-09-11
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH), flat by rounding as Africa eases to 87. Middle East and Eastern Europe remain pinned at the 100 ceiling.
RIX-2026-027 · 2026-09-10
RAGE INDEX rises 2 to a new series high of 83 (HIGH). Indo-Pacific up 4 to 64, Africa 88, Americas 68, as US-Iran tanker exchanges escalate near Hormuz.
RIX-2026-026 · 2026-09-09
RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH) with Middle East and Eastern Europe both pinned at 100 — a flat close driven by coverage limits, not stability.
RIX-2026-025 · 2026-09-08
RAGE INDEX rises 1 to 81 (HIGH) as Eastern Europe joins Middle East at the 100 ceiling. Africa climbs to 87, Americas to 66.
RIX-2026-024 · 2026-09-07
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) for a fifth flat close. Eastern Europe eases to 98, Africa rises to 84, and the WMD monitor jumps to 83.
RIX-2026-023 · 2026-09-06
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) as the IRGC fires ballistic missiles at two US carrier groups. Eastern Europe rises to 99, Middle East pinned at 100.
RIX-2026-022 · 2026-09-05
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) for a third consecutive flat close at the series peak. Middle East pinned at 100, Eastern Europe rises to 97, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-021 · 2026-09-04
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) as the Americas is searched and confirmed quiet. Middle East at the 100 ceiling, Eastern Europe eases to 96, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-020 · 2026-09-03
RAGE INDEX rises to a series high of 80 (HIGH) after Iran strikes Bahrain, a fourth state. Middle East 100, Eastern Europe 98, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-019 · 2026-09-02
RAGE INDEX holds at 79 (HIGH) as the Middle East reaches the ceiling at 100 after Iran strikes Kuwait. Eastern Europe 97, Africa returns to fresh sourcing at 78.
RIX-2026-018 · 2026-09-01
RAGE INDEX rises to 79 (HIGH) for a second consecutive series high. Middle East hits 99 after Iran strikes Jordan and the UAE, Eastern Europe eases to 96, Americas climbs to 64.
RIX-2026-017 · 2026-08-31
RAGE INDEX climbs to 78 (HIGH), a new series high. Eastern Europe reaches 98 — the highest single-theater score yet — Middle East rises to 95, and Americas holds fresh coverage a second cycle.
RIX-2026-016 · 2026-08-30
RAGE INDEX holds at 76 (HIGH) for a fourth flat close. Middle East climbs to 91, Eastern Europe eases to 94, and the robustness gap widens again as Americas returns to carried coverage.
RIX-2026-015 · 2026-08-29
RAGE INDEX closes at 76 (HIGH), up 2. Eastern Europe hits 96 — the highest single-theater score of the series — and Americas posts its first fresh-sourced score at 60.
RIX-2026-014 · 2026-08-28
RAGE INDEX 74 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-014). The plateau breaks: Middle East eases to 89, Eastern Europe 92, Africa back up to 76.
RIX-2026-013 · 2026-08-27
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-013). Third flat close: Eastern Europe up 4 to 93, the highest theater on the board, Middle East eases to 92.
RIX-2026-012 · 2026-08-26
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-012). Second flat close: Middle East eases to 94, Africa crosses back above HIGH at 76.
RIX-2026-011 · 2026-08-25
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-011). First flat close of the series: Middle East up 2 to 96, Eastern Europe 88, Africa dips below HIGH at 74.
RIX-2026-010 · 2026-08-24
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-010). Third band crossing in three issues: Middle East 94, Eastern Europe 89, Indo-Pacific up 2 to 60.
RIX-2026-009 · 2026-08-23
RAGE INDEX 74 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-009). Thinnest coverage cycle yet: Middle East eases to 92 on Iran de-escalatory signal, Eastern Europe 90.
RIX-2026-008 · 2026-08-22
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-008). First HIGH close of the series: Middle East 94, Eastern Europe 91 and Indo-Pacific up 2 to 58.
RIX-2026-007 · 2026-08-21
RAGE INDEX 73 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-007). North Korea fires 10+ ballistic missiles, Middle East climbs to 93 and Indo-Pacific jumps 8 to 56.
RIX-2026-006 · 2026-08-20
RAGE INDEX 70 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-006). UAE cuts Iran off entirely, Middle East hits 89 and Eastern Europe 84 as three theaters carry A-grade sourcing.
RIX-2026-005 · 2026-08-19
RAGE INDEX 68 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-005). Best-sourced issue yet: Middle East climbs to 86, Ulchi Freedom Shield halved, and the Brier ledger improves to 0.17.
RIX-2026-004 · 2026-08-18
RAGE INDEX 67 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-004). Methodology v1.3 adds a forecast pre-check, Indo-Pacific drops five on the Korea drill cut, and Middle East climbs to 83.
RIX-2026-003 · 2026-08-17
RAGE INDEX 68 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-003). Indo-Pacific correction restores 54, Sudan opens a Blue Nile front, and the first forecast resolution opens the Brier ledger at 0.250.
RIX-2026-002 · 2026-08-16
RAGE INDEX 67 — ELEVATED (Rev B). Methodology v1.2 coverage grading, Cyber and WMD monitors restored, Indo-Pacific down 8 on the Seoul-Pyongyang channel.
Earlier editions are archived under GCII — Global Conflict Intelligence Index.