The World War Tracker: every major war scored each day on how bad it is, which way it is moving and how close it is to stopping. Decode. Dominate. Deliver.
A new scale since RIX-2026-071 (26 October 2026): the world number is the average Escalation Level of the wars tracked, so it cannot be compared with earlier scores, which measured regions. How the World War Tracker works
The world number holds at 72 (72.17), and all 12 scores are unchanged. Ukraine stays at 97 on day two of the Abu Dhabi talks, with a large prisoner exchange discussed but not confirmed. Yemen's government says it has launched a counteroffensive; the WHO counts 1,771 dead since August.
Most dangerous
Russia–Ukraine · EL 97
Day two in Abu Dhabi: territory on the table. Peace Track 3 (talks under way)
Escalating fastest
Russia–Ukraine · = to EL 97
Day two in Abu Dhabi: territory on the table.
Closest to a ceasefire
Israel–Lebanon · Peace Track 4/5
Ceasefire since June, with a 26 June framework (phased Israeli withdrawal, army deployment, disarmament). US-mediated military-technical talks in Tampa on 20–21 Oct ended without results. The IDF holds a security zone up to about 12 km deep. EL 51.
12 wars ranked by Escalation Level (0–100), the sum of five 0–20 scores. Peace Track runs from 0 (no channel) to 5 (a ceasefire holding).
| # | War | Escalation level | Move | Peace Track | V | M | S | C | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Russia–UkraineFull-scale war | 97 | = | 3 · Talks under way | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 2 | Yemen warFull-scale war | 94 | = | 1 · Messages only | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 3 | Sudan civil warFull-scale war | 89 | = | 1 · Messages only | 20 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 4 | US/Israel–IranFull-scale war | 80 | = | 1 · Messages only | 14 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Ethiopia warsActive fighting | 75 | = | 0 · No channel | 16 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 6 | Eastern Congo warActive fighting | 70 | = | 2 · Talks planned | 13 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 7 | Israel–GazaActive fighting | 66 | = | 4 · Ceasefire agreed | 11 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 12 |
| 8 | Sahel insurgencyActive fighting | 64 | = | 0 · No channel | 17 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
| 9 | West BankActive fighting | 61 | = | 0 · No channel | 10 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Myanmar civil warActive fighting | 61 | = | 1 · Messages only | 16 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 11 | Pakistan's warsContested | 58 | = | 0 · No channel | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Israel–LebanonContested | 51 | = | 4 · Ceasefire agreed | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| Edition date | Edition | World number | Phase |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | RIX-2026-071 | 70 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-10-27 | RIX-2026-072 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-10-28 | RIX-2026-073 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-10-29 | RIX-2026-074 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-10-30 | RIX-2026-075 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-10-31 | RIX-2026-076 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-01 | RIX-2026-077 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-02 | RIX-2026-078 | 71 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-03 | RIX-2026-079 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-04 | RIX-2026-080 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-05 | RIX-2026-081 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-06 | RIX-2026-082 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-07 | RIX-2026-083 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-08 | RIX-2026-084 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-09 | RIX-2026-085 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-10 | RIX-2026-086 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
| 2026-11-11 | RIX-2026-087 | 72 | ACTIVE FIGHTING |
RIX-2026-087 as published on Instagram: the world number, the War Board and the wars that moved, one slide at a time. Swipe, use the arrows or open it full screen.
88 editions
RIX-2026-087 · 2026-11-11 · Carousel, 8 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 with all 12 scores unchanged; Ukraine stays at 97 on day two of the Abu Dhabi talks as a large prisoner swap is discussed.
RIX-2026-086 · 2026-11-10 · Carousel, 9 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Abu Dhabi talks open with Ukraine at 97, Yemen rises to 94 after a hit on a Saudi pipeline, and Iran eases to 80.
RIX-2026-085 · 2026-11-09 · Carousel, 9 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Iran rises to 81 after US strikes on Qeshm and a land blockade, and Ukraine stays at 97 with the Zaporizhzhia plant blacked out.
RIX-2026-084 · 2026-11-08 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Ukraine reaches 97 after 36 ballistic missiles in one night, and a Houthi attack damages Aramco's tower in Riyadh.
RIX-2026-083 · 2026-11-07 · Carousel, 9 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Ukraine hits 96, its highest yet, with the aid-site toll at 55, and Yemen rises to 92 after a strike near Sanaa.
RIX-2026-082 · 2026-11-06 · Carousel, 9 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Ethiopia rises to 75 on reported clashes inside Eritrea and closing consulates with Sudan; more tankers are hit around Hormuz.
RIX-2026-081 · 2026-11-05 · Carousel, 9 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Iran eases to 80 after the US midterms and the Komyshuvakha aid-site toll rises to 40; Yemen's offensive turns to attrition.
RIX-2026-080 · 2026-11-04 · Carousel, 9 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 72 as Ukraine rises to 95, the board's highest, after the aid-site toll reached 31; US–Russia talks are set for Abu Dhabi, 10–11 Nov.
RIX-2026-079 · 2026-11-03 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX rises to 72 as Iran crosses 80 into full-scale war after US strikes on Qeshm Island, and Ukraine climbs to 94 after an aid-point bombing.
RIX-2026-078 · 2026-11-02 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 71 as drone strikes on Sudan's power grid lift it to 88; the Oleshky truce ends with no violations and ships are hit near Hormuz.
RIX-2026-077 · 2026-11-01 · Carousel, 11 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 71 after the World War Tracker's first week: no war calmed, and drone strikes in northern Ethiopia lift it to 74.
RIX-2026-076 · 2026-10-31 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 71 as Yemen climbs to 91 on six claimed Houthi strikes on Saudi oil sites, and tankers burn in Hormuz with Brent at $117.62.
RIX-2026-075 · 2026-10-30 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 71 as Ukraine hits 92, its highest yet, after a Russian drone strike on Dnipro's rail station; 11 of 12 wars are getting worse.
RIX-2026-074 · 2026-10-29 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 71: the US reportedly tells Gulf allies to expect a campaign against Iran after the midterms, and a local truce in Oleshky holds.
RIX-2026-073 · 2026-10-28 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX rises to 71: Houthi missiles claimed on Ras Tanura, a Nyala market strike a rights group says killed 100+, and no clear winner in Israel.
RIX-2026-072 · 2026-10-27
Archive edition: RAGE INDEX rises to 71 as Houthi missiles are claimed on Ras Tanura and Riyadh, and exit polls show no majority in Israel's vote.
RIX-2026-071 · 2026-10-26 · Carousel, 10 slides
The RAGE INDEX becomes a World War Tracker: 12 wars scored, world number 70 ACTIVE FIGHTING, as Egypt's parliament backs military support for Saudi Arabia.
RIX-2026-070 · 2026-10-25 · Carousel, 10 slides
RAGE INDEX holds at 88 HIGH as Trump weighs an Iran strike, Hebron's displaced pass 2,200 and the uncapped index reaches 133.90 in the weekly review.
RIX-2026-069 · 2026-10-24
RAGE INDEX holds at 88 HIGH as Israel moves into Hebron, a US memo warns of Iranian plots, Brent nears $117 and Riyadh downs a Houthi missile.
RIX-2026-068 · 2026-10-23
RAGE INDEX holds at 88 HIGH: Israel locks down the West Bank, gunmen kill seven at a church funeral in Jordan and Romania blames Russia for a sinking.
RIX-2026-067 · 2026-10-22
RAGE INDEX holds at 88 HIGH as Methodology v2.0 launches: Middle East intensity hits 200, the Houthis strike Dammam and the US pulls staff from Saudi.
RIX-2026-066 · 2026-10-21
RAGE INDEX rises to 88 HIGH, a record: a drone strike on Abyei's Amiet market kills at least 153 and NATO reinforces the Black Sea after six ship attacks.
RIX-2026-065 · 2026-10-20
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH: Britain sends RAF Typhoons to defend Saudi Arabia, Riyadh postpones its FII conference and Alberta votes to stay in Canada.
RIX-2026-064 · 2026-10-19
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH, 0.02 below 88: a Houthi missile strike kills 53 recruits in Shabwa and drone strikes kill more than 160 across Sudan.
RIX-2026-063 · 2026-10-18
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH: Ukraine hits St Petersburg's oil terminal, Kyiv quits the energy ceasefire, Brent hits $110 and Egypt moves to defend Riyadh.
RIX-2026-062 · 2026-10-17
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH as Eastern Europe's escalation tracker tops 200: the US freezes the Graham sanctions law and Russia cuts power to 1M.
RIX-2026-061 · 2026-10-16
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH as the precise total dips for the first time in ten editions; Eritrea leaves Tigray and missiles land near Aden airport.
RIX-2026-060 · 2026-10-15
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH: the energy ceasefire collapses, Houthi missiles hit Aden's presidential palace and two tankers burn off Romania.
RIX-2026-059 · 2026-10-14
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH as the Houthis hit an Aramco building in Dhahran and Kyiv takes unwarned ballistic strikes for a second day.
RIX-2026-058 · 2026-10-13
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH: Kabila forms a coalition with M23, Africa rises to 98, another ship sinks off Bulgaria and the energy truce is contested.
RIX-2026-057 · 2026-10-12
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH as North Korean launches lift the Indo-Pacific into HIGH; Riyadh is hit again and Moscow rejects a ceasefire.
RIX-2026-056 · 2026-10-11
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH: Trump declares a Russia–Ukraine energy ceasefire, weighs new Iran strikes, and Pakistan imposes emergency rule in KP.
RIX-2026-055 · 2026-10-10
RAGE INDEX holds at 87 HIGH after a Houthi strike kills 12 at Riyadh's airport, as the US lifts Russian diesel sanctions and enforces its Iran blockade.
RIX-2026-054 · 2026-10-09
RAGE INDEX rises to 87 HIGH as Ethiopia tells the UN that Eritrea has launched an all-out invasion and Africa moves within reach of the ceiling.
RIX-2026-053 · 2026-10-08
RAGE INDEX holds at 86 HIGH: a tanker is hit off Qatar, Houthi strikes kill three at Saudi airports and Trump rules out striking Iran before the midterms.
RIX-2026-052 · 2026-10-07
RAGE INDEX holds at 86 HIGH as the IAEA forecast resolves NO; a third tanker is reported hit near Hormuz and the Houthis attack Aden airport.
RIX-2026-051 · 2026-10-06
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: drones sink the Alfa Watan off Bulgaria, a tanker burns off Oman, Ukraine sends 650 drones at Moscow and Mali retakes Kidal.
RIX-2026-050 · 2026-10-05
RAGE INDEX holds at 86 HIGH: CENTCOM says 13 ships destroyed near Hormuz, Gulf exports top pre-war levels and Russia vows heavier strikes on Kyiv.
RIX-2026-049 · 2026-10-04
RAGE INDEX carries an 86 HIGH baseline as Yemen fighting and Russian strike warnings lead the daily update; six theaters reviewed with coverage limits.
RIX-2026-048 · 2026-10-03
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH with a weighted total of 85.70; the edition corrects FlyDubai wording and updates the Hormuz shipping assessment.
RIX-2026-047 · 2026-10-02
Early-day RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: reported Russian winter strike planning and US–Iran diplomacy, with explicit limits on sourcing and coverage.
RIX-2026-046 · 2026-10-01
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: US–Iran threats and reported mediation, Kaliningrad nuclear rhetoric and continuing pressure on Ukraine’s energy grid.
RIX-2026-045 · 2026-09-30
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: Middle East and Eastern Europe escalation tracking, plus a forecast audit resolving four outcomes and correcting the ledger.
RIX-2026-044 · 2026-09-29
RAGE INDEX holds at 86 HIGH amid a reported Hormuz tanker attack, renewed Kyiv strikes and competing US–Iran statements.
RIX-2026-043 · 2026-09-28
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH across 27–28 September: Hormuz diplomatic limbo and continued Ukraine conflict pressure, with two theaters at the score ceiling.
RIX-2026-043a · 2026-09-27
Retrospective RAGE INDEX supplement for 27 September: 86 HIGH, reconciling Middle East and Eastern Europe Escalation Units with the 28 September report.
RIX-2026-042 · 2026-09-26
RAGE INDEX holds at 86 HIGH as the Hormuz roadmap is rejected and Ukraine talks falter; both leading theaters record higher Escalation Units.
RIX-2026-041 · 2026-09-25
UN diplomacy and Ukraine arms support keep the RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH; Middle East and Eastern Europe escalation pressures rise.
RIX-2026-040 · 2026-09-24
New series high at 86 (HIGH): Trump threatens to annihilate Iran from the UN podium, and Ukraine repatriates captured North Korean soldiers to South Korea.
RIX-2026-039 · 2026-09-23
RAGE INDEX holds at 85 (HIGH) as up to 169 are killed in three days of Yemen fighting and Escalation Units rise in both capped theaters.
RIX-2026-038 · 2026-09-22
RAGE INDEX holds at 85 (HIGH) through a mixed UN General Assembly day: Iran passes Hormuz reopening terms to Washington as the IRGC warns of a long war.
RIX-2026-037 · 2026-09-21
New series high as South & Central Asia's dedicated cycle surfaces a real story and Iran's 13-day kinetic pause breaks overnight.
RIX-2026-036 · 2026-09-20
New series high on the best-covered day of the series — five of six theaters fresh — as Middle East Escalation Units ease for the first time since launch.
RIX-2026-035 · 2026-09-19
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH). Escalation Units hit 138 for Eastern Europe — the largest single-cycle delta since launch — as Poland goes on high alert over Black Sea strikes.
RIX-2026-034 · 2026-09-18
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 HIGH. Eastern Europe (132 EU) passes the Middle East (124) as Russia is revealed to have built Iran a 24-helicopter attack fleet.
RIX-2026-033 · 2026-09-17
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH). Methodology v1.4 launches the uncapped Escalation Units tracker as Iowa Republicans break on Iran war authority.
RIX-2026-032 · 2026-09-16
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH). Zelensky says drones twice targeted his aircraft, a strike hits a train carrying a former CIA director, and the US fields its first space-based weapon.
RIX-2026-031 · 2026-09-15
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH). South & Central Asia gets its first genuine sourcing in 28 issues as Xi visits India; Indo-Pacific rises to 66.
RIX-2026-030 · 2026-09-14
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH). Saudi Arabia shuts its East-West pipeline after an Iraqi drone attack, Houthis seize two more Red Sea islands, and Africa climbs to 91.
RIX-2026-029 · 2026-09-13
RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH) across a 12–13 September double cycle. Medvedev threatens Lithuania and Germany formally attributes the Leipzig drone attack to the GRU.
RIX-2026-029 · 2026-09-12
RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH) on a third flat close. A drone strike on a Saudi pipeline launched from Iraq widens the Gulf conflict; Iran and the UAE call for restraint.
RIX-2026-028 · 2026-09-11
RAGE INDEX prints 83 (HIGH) again, flat only by rounding as the weighted total eases to 82.50. Middle East and Eastern Europe stay pinned at 100; Africa slips to 87.
RIX-2026-027 · 2026-09-10
RAGE INDEX sets a new series high of 83 (HIGH) as Indo-Pacific breaks a carried streak at 64. Middle East and Eastern Europe at 100, Africa 88, Americas 68.
RIX-2026-026 · 2026-09-09
RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH) with both capped theaters fresh and the rest carried — a flat close the coverage pattern made close to inevitable.
RIX-2026-025 · 2026-09-08
RAGE INDEX rises to 81 (HIGH) as Eastern Europe joins the Middle East at the 100 ceiling — the first time two theaters cap out at once. Africa 87, Americas 66.
RIX-2026-024 · 2026-09-07
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) for a fifth consecutive flat close. Middle East at 100, Eastern Europe 98, Africa 84, and the WMD monitor updates to 83.
RIX-2026-023 · 2026-09-06
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) after IRGC ballistic missiles are fired at two US carrier groups. Middle East 100, Eastern Europe 99, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-022 · 2026-09-05
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) for a third consecutive flat close at the series peak. Middle East pinned at 100, Eastern Europe rises to 97, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-021 · 2026-09-04
RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) as the Americas is searched and confirmed quiet. Middle East at the 100 ceiling, Eastern Europe eases to 96, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-020 · 2026-09-03
RAGE INDEX rises to a series high of 80 (HIGH) after Iran strikes Bahrain, a fourth state. Middle East 100, Eastern Europe 98, Africa 82.
RIX-2026-019 · 2026-09-02
RAGE INDEX holds at 79 (HIGH) as the Middle East reaches the ceiling at 100 after Iran strikes Kuwait. Eastern Europe 97, Africa returns to fresh sourcing at 78.
RIX-2026-018 · 2026-09-01
RAGE INDEX rises to 79 (HIGH) for a second consecutive series high. Middle East hits 99 after Iran strikes Jordan and the UAE, Eastern Europe eases to 96, Americas climbs to 64.
RIX-2026-017 · 2026-08-31
RAGE INDEX climbs to 78 (HIGH), a new series high. Eastern Europe reaches 98 — the highest single-theater score yet — Middle East rises to 95, and Americas holds fresh coverage a second cycle.
RIX-2026-016 · 2026-08-30
RAGE INDEX holds at 76 (HIGH) for a fourth flat close. Middle East climbs to 91, Eastern Europe eases to 94, and the robustness gap widens again as Americas returns to carried coverage.
RIX-2026-015 · 2026-08-29
RAGE INDEX closes at 76 (HIGH), up 2. Eastern Europe hits 96 — the highest single-theater score of the series — and Americas posts its first fresh-sourced score at 60.
RIX-2026-014 · 2026-08-28
RAGE INDEX 74 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-014). The plateau breaks: Middle East eases to 89, Eastern Europe 92, Africa back up to 76.
RIX-2026-013 · 2026-08-27
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-013). Third flat close: Eastern Europe up 4 to 93, the highest theater on the board, Middle East eases to 92.
RIX-2026-012 · 2026-08-26
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-012). Second flat close: Middle East eases to 94, Africa crosses back above HIGH at 76.
RIX-2026-011 · 2026-08-25
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-011). First flat close of the series: Middle East up 2 to 96, Eastern Europe 88, Africa dips below HIGH at 74.
RIX-2026-010 · 2026-08-24
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-010). Third band crossing in three issues: Middle East 94, Eastern Europe 89, Indo-Pacific up 2 to 60.
RIX-2026-009 · 2026-08-23
RAGE INDEX 74 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-009). Thinnest coverage cycle yet: Middle East eases to 92 on Iran de-escalatory signal, Eastern Europe 90.
RIX-2026-008 · 2026-08-22
RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-008). First HIGH close of the series: Middle East 94, Eastern Europe 91 and Indo-Pacific up 2 to 58.
RIX-2026-007 · 2026-08-21
RAGE INDEX 73 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-007). North Korea fires 10+ ballistic missiles, Middle East climbs to 93 and Indo-Pacific jumps 8 to 56.
RIX-2026-006 · 2026-08-20
RAGE INDEX 70 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-006). UAE cuts Iran off entirely, Middle East hits 89 and Eastern Europe 84 as three theaters carry A-grade sourcing.
RIX-2026-005 · 2026-08-19
RAGE INDEX 68 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-005). Best-sourced issue yet: Middle East climbs to 86, Ulchi Freedom Shield halved, and the Brier ledger improves to 0.17.
RIX-2026-004 · 2026-08-18
RAGE INDEX 67 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-004). Methodology v1.3 adds a forecast pre-check, Indo-Pacific drops five on the Korea drill cut, and Middle East climbs to 83.
RIX-2026-003 · 2026-08-17
RAGE INDEX 68 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-003). Indo-Pacific correction restores 54, Sudan opens a Blue Nile front, and the first forecast resolution opens the Brier ledger at 0.250.
RIX-2026-002 · 2026-08-16
RAGE INDEX 67 — ELEVATED (Rev B). Methodology v1.2 coverage grading, Cyber and WMD monitors restored, Indo-Pacific down 8 on the Seoul-Pyongyang channel.
Earlier editions, published under the series' former name GCII (Global Conflict Intelligence Index):
