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RAGE INDEX  Global Conflict Intelligence

A scored, theater-by-theater read on global conflict risk — bands, 24-hour change and escalation indicators. Decode. Dominate. Deliver.

Current score81HIGH
24-hour change
0
Edition
RIX-2026-029
Methodology
v1.3
Published
2026-09-12
Open current edition

Edition Archive

81HIGH

RIX-2026-029 · 2026-09-12

RAGE INDEX — 12 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH). Middle East and Eastern Europe pinned at 100 as a drone strike from Iraqi territory hits a Saudi oil pipeline.

83HIGH

RIX-2026-028 · 2026-09-11

RAGE INDEX — 11 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 83 (HIGH), flat by rounding as Africa eases to 87. Middle East and Eastern Europe remain pinned at the 100 ceiling.

83HIGH

RIX-2026-027 · 2026-09-10

RAGE INDEX — 10 September 2026

RAGE INDEX rises 2 to a new series high of 83 (HIGH). Indo-Pacific up 4 to 64, Africa 88, Americas 68, as US-Iran tanker exchanges escalate near Hormuz.

81HIGH

RIX-2026-026 · 2026-09-09

RAGE INDEX — 9 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 81 (HIGH) with Middle East and Eastern Europe both pinned at 100 — a flat close driven by coverage limits, not stability.

81HIGH

RIX-2026-025 · 2026-09-08

RAGE INDEX — 8 September 2026

RAGE INDEX rises 1 to 81 (HIGH) as Eastern Europe joins Middle East at the 100 ceiling. Africa climbs to 87, Americas to 66.

80HIGH

RIX-2026-024 · 2026-09-07

RAGE INDEX — 7 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) for a fifth flat close. Eastern Europe eases to 98, Africa rises to 84, and the WMD monitor jumps to 83.

80HIGH

RIX-2026-023 · 2026-09-06

RAGE INDEX — 6 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) as the IRGC fires ballistic missiles at two US carrier groups. Eastern Europe rises to 99, Middle East pinned at 100.

80HIGH

RIX-2026-022 · 2026-09-05

RAGE INDEX — 5 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) for a third consecutive flat close at the series peak. Middle East pinned at 100, Eastern Europe rises to 97, Africa 82.

80HIGH

RIX-2026-021 · 2026-09-04

RAGE INDEX — 4 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 80 (HIGH) as the Americas is searched and confirmed quiet. Middle East at the 100 ceiling, Eastern Europe eases to 96, Africa 82.

80HIGH

RIX-2026-020 · 2026-09-03

RAGE INDEX — 3 September 2026

RAGE INDEX rises to a series high of 80 (HIGH) after Iran strikes Bahrain, a fourth state. Middle East 100, Eastern Europe 98, Africa 82.

79HIGH

RIX-2026-019 · 2026-09-02

RAGE INDEX — 2 September 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 79 (HIGH) as the Middle East reaches the ceiling at 100 after Iran strikes Kuwait. Eastern Europe 97, Africa returns to fresh sourcing at 78.

79HIGH

RIX-2026-018 · 2026-09-01

RAGE INDEX — 1 September 2026

RAGE INDEX rises to 79 (HIGH) for a second consecutive series high. Middle East hits 99 after Iran strikes Jordan and the UAE, Eastern Europe eases to 96, Americas climbs to 64.

78HIGH

RIX-2026-017 · 2026-08-31

RAGE INDEX — 31 August 2026

RAGE INDEX climbs to 78 (HIGH), a new series high. Eastern Europe reaches 98 — the highest single-theater score yet — Middle East rises to 95, and Americas holds fresh coverage a second cycle.

76HIGH

RIX-2026-016 · 2026-08-30

RAGE INDEX — 30 August 2026

RAGE INDEX holds at 76 (HIGH) for a fourth flat close. Middle East climbs to 91, Eastern Europe eases to 94, and the robustness gap widens again as Americas returns to carried coverage.

76HIGH

RIX-2026-015 · 2026-08-29

RAGE INDEX — 29 August 2026

RAGE INDEX closes at 76 (HIGH), up 2. Eastern Europe hits 96 — the highest single-theater score of the series — and Americas posts its first fresh-sourced score at 60.

74ELEVATED

RIX-2026-014 · 2026-08-28

RAGE INDEX — August 28, 2026

RAGE INDEX 74 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-014). The plateau breaks: Middle East eases to 89, Eastern Europe 92, Africa back up to 76.

75HIGH

RIX-2026-013 · 2026-08-27

RAGE INDEX — August 27, 2026

RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-013). Third flat close: Eastern Europe up 4 to 93, the highest theater on the board, Middle East eases to 92.

75HIGH

RIX-2026-012 · 2026-08-26

RAGE INDEX — August 26, 2026

RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-012). Second flat close: Middle East eases to 94, Africa crosses back above HIGH at 76.

75HIGH

RIX-2026-011 · 2026-08-25

RAGE INDEX — August 25, 2026

RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-011). First flat close of the series: Middle East up 2 to 96, Eastern Europe 88, Africa dips below HIGH at 74.

75HIGH

RIX-2026-010 · 2026-08-24

RAGE INDEX — August 24, 2026

RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-010). Third band crossing in three issues: Middle East 94, Eastern Europe 89, Indo-Pacific up 2 to 60.

74ELEVATED

RIX-2026-009 · 2026-08-23

RAGE INDEX — August 23, 2026

RAGE INDEX 74 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-009). Thinnest coverage cycle yet: Middle East eases to 92 on Iran de-escalatory signal, Eastern Europe 90.

75HIGH

RIX-2026-008 · 2026-08-22

RAGE INDEX — August 22, 2026

RAGE INDEX 75 — HIGH (RIX-2026-008). First HIGH close of the series: Middle East 94, Eastern Europe 91 and Indo-Pacific up 2 to 58.

73ELEVATED

RIX-2026-007 · 2026-08-21

RAGE INDEX — August 21, 2026

RAGE INDEX 73 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-007). North Korea fires 10+ ballistic missiles, Middle East climbs to 93 and Indo-Pacific jumps 8 to 56.

70ELEVATED

RIX-2026-006 · 2026-08-20

RAGE INDEX — August 20, 2026

RAGE INDEX 70 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-006). UAE cuts Iran off entirely, Middle East hits 89 and Eastern Europe 84 as three theaters carry A-grade sourcing.

68ELEVATED

RIX-2026-005 · 2026-08-19

RAGE INDEX — August 19, 2026

RAGE INDEX 68 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-005). Best-sourced issue yet: Middle East climbs to 86, Ulchi Freedom Shield halved, and the Brier ledger improves to 0.17.

67ELEVATED

RIX-2026-004 · 2026-08-18

RAGE INDEX — August 18, 2026

RAGE INDEX 67 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-004). Methodology v1.3 adds a forecast pre-check, Indo-Pacific drops five on the Korea drill cut, and Middle East climbs to 83.

68ELEVATED

RIX-2026-003 · 2026-08-17

RAGE INDEX — August 17, 2026

RAGE INDEX 68 — ELEVATED (RIX-2026-003). Indo-Pacific correction restores 54, Sudan opens a Blue Nile front, and the first forecast resolution opens the Brier ledger at 0.250.

67ELEVATED

RIX-2026-002 · 2026-08-16

RAGE INDEX — August 16, 2026

RAGE INDEX 67 — ELEVATED (Rev B). Methodology v1.2 coverage grading, Cyber and WMD monitors restored, Indo-Pacific down 8 on the Seoul-Pyongyang channel.

Earlier editions are archived under GCII — Global Conflict Intelligence Index.