Country Intelligence
Russian forces have not taken Pokrovsk. Ukraine advanced at Kupyansk. Infiltration replaced assault. What the front actually looks like in 2026.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Seven drone makers in 2022. Around 500 now. Four million units produced in 2025, seven million targeted for 2026 — the fastest defence-industrial scale-up on record.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Leopard 2 armour was never penetrated frontally — 57% of the 2A6 tranche was still lost. A verdict on Western systems by what the evidence actually shows.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Ukraine intercepts 87% of drones and 15% of ballistic missiles. The Patriots ran out on 1 July. The interceptor drone is now the load-bearing pillar.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Ukraine has hit every one of Russia's largest refineries. Estimates of capacity disabled range from 20% to 43% — and the range itself is the story.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
2026-08-29 · 13 min read
A glass thread thinner than a hair defeated the most extensive tactical EW in the world. Spools now reach 65 km. The limitations nobody mentions.
2026-08-29 · 12 min read
Most "AI swarm" claims describe automation, not autonomy. CSIS found no verifiable evidence Russian swarming has been fielded. What has been, and what hasn't.
2026-08-29 · 12 min read
Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
Putin says 700,000 in Ukraine — the same as mid-2024. Contract signings fell 20% year-on-year. Russia adapted its doctrine and hit a recruitment wall.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
NATO cut response times from 17 hours to one. Sabotage fell. But attribution remains the unsolved problem — an anchor is not a weapon until someone proves intent.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
Russia entered 2022 with the most extensive tactical EW of any military. Fibre-optic drones made it irrelevant in one mission set — and spoofing crossed into NATO airspace.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read