Shahed-136: The Drone That Broke Air Defence Budgets
A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
2026-08-29 · 13 min read
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A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
2026-08-29 · 13 min read
A glass thread thinner than a hair defeated the most extensive tactical EW in the world. Spools now reach 65 km. The limitations nobody mentions.
2026-08-29 · 12 min read
Most "AI swarm" claims describe automation, not autonomy. CSIS found no verifiable evidence Russian swarming has been fielded. What has been, and what hasn't.
2026-08-29 · 12 min read
Russia entered 2022 with the most extensive tactical EW of any military. Fibre-optic drones made it irrelevant in one mission set — and spoofing crossed into NATO airspace.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
A $400 drone kills a $4.5 million tank. Russia plans 7.3 million FPVs in 2026. The full cost-exchange arithmetic that now governs every defence budget.
2026-08-22 · 14 min read
Jammers, guns, missiles, lasers, nets. Every counter-drone layer fails somewhere, and the ones that work lose the cost exchange. The honest scorecard.
2026-08-22 · 13 min read
No Leopard 2 has ever been destroyed by frontal penetration. Yet 57% of the 2A6 tranche was lost. The tank is not dead — it has been demoted. Here is why.
2026-08-21 · 13 min read
A 1940s autocannon is shooting down Shahed-type drones over Ukraine in 2026. Why the Bofors L/70 survived the missile age — and what 3P ammunition changed.
2026-08-13 · 12 min read
The Replicator initiative and the affordable mass problem — what worked, what didn't, and what scaling attritable autonomous systems actually requires.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
Guide to domestic counter-drone authority — the SAFER SKIES Act, FAA Part 74 rulemaking, state and local powers, and what changed for infrastructure operators.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
Analysis of naval drone warfare — Magura USVs, Black Sea lessons, US production programs, cost-exchange against warships, and the future of surface fleets.
2026-08-05 · 12 min read
A defense industry analysis of drone warfare in 2026 — production economics, force structure impact, procurement shifts, and where the market is heading.
2026-08-05 · 12 min read