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Geopolitics
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Analysis
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US Military Bases in the Middle East: The Full List, and What 2026 Broke
Nineteen sites, ten countries, all inside Iran's missile envelope. What Operation Epic Fury did to the US base network — and where the posture goes next.
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Poland's Missile, Washington's Sanctions Bill: Reading NATO's Escalation Ladder
A Russian Kh-101 crossed into Poland on July 30. Days later the Senate cleared a sanctions package 84-strong. How the two are connected, and what follows.
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The Strikes Paused. The Risk Premium Didn't
Trump says a deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz is close. Oil prices, travel advisories, and Tehran's crackdown say the war isn't actually over.
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Rome, Round Two: Can the Lebanon–Israel Framework Survive Its First Real Test?
Lebanon and Israel return to Rome on August 4 to expand the pilot-zone framework. What's on the table — and why disarmament is the deal's real fault line.
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Where the US–Iran War Actually Stands, Six Months In
Six months after the strikes that killed Iran's Supreme Leader, the ceasefire is fragile, the nuclear question is unresolved, and Hormuz is still contested.
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The Philippines Just Said the Quiet Part Out Loud on Taiwan
The Philippines says it can't stay neutral in a Taiwan war. Japan is arming allies. China is training with Russia. The Indo-Pacific map is shifting.
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Sudan's War Just Reached Its Most Intense Phase Yet
Sudan's army seized a key supply line and launched its heaviest airstrikes yet. The RSF is retreating — and taking revenge on civilians as it goes.
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Russia Wants 30,000 More North Korean Troops. That's a Weakness Signal.
Russia wants 30,000 more North Korean troops and more ballistic missiles. It's a sign Moscow's war machine is running short, not a show of strength.
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Spain's Immigration Story Is Actually Two Stories, and They're Colliding
Spain just regularized over a million migrants while irregular arrivals surge through a new entry point. Inside the numbers, the politics, and what's next.
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Maduro Is Gone. Venezuela's Crisis Isn't.
Six months after the US captured Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela has a new acting president and the same repression, rigged elections, and humanitarian crisis.
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Ukraine Just Bet Its Winter on an Energy Executive, Not a General
Zelenskyy just swapped his prime minister for an energy executive and triggered a defense-ministry scandal. Here's the real bet behind Ukraine's reshuffle.
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Two Chokepoints, One War: What the Houthi Blockade on Saudi Arabia Really Signals
The Houthis have opened a second maritime front against Saudi Arabia while Iran keeps attacking tankers in Hormuz. What it means for oil, Gulf politics, and the war's endgame.