A searchable archive of geopolitical intelligence, military analysis, conflict files, and defense research. One canonical source for every article.
Ukraine has hit every one of Russia's largest refineries. Estimates of capacity disabled range from 20% to 43% — and the range itself is the story.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
The raid took 150 minutes. The control mechanism that followed is a US Treasury custody account — how Washington runs Venezuela's oil revenue without occupying it.
2026-08-13 · 14 min read
Ukraine says drones disabled 42% of Russian refining capacity in 2026, and satellite analysis broadly backs it. Why Moscow extended its fuel export ban.
2026-08-03 · 6 min read
Trump says a deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz is close. Oil prices, travel advisories, and Tehran's crackdown say the war isn't actually over.
2026-08-02 · 6 min read
Six months after the strikes that killed Iran's Supreme Leader, the ceasefire is fragile, the nuclear question is unresolved, and Hormuz is still contested.
2026-08-02 · 12 min read
Six months after the US captured Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela has a new acting president and the same repression, rigged elections, and humanitarian crisis.
2026-07-31 · 7 min read
Zelenskyy just swapped his prime minister for an energy executive and triggered a defense-ministry scandal. Here's the real bet behind Ukraine's reshuffle.
2026-07-30 · 6 min read
The Houthis have opened a second maritime front against Saudi Arabia while Iran keeps attacking tankers in Hormuz. What it means for oil, Gulf politics, and the war's endgame.
2026-07-29 · 7 min read
