Russia's War Economy: How Long Can It Actually Last
Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
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Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
The raid took 150 minutes. The control mechanism that followed is a US Treasury custody account — how Washington runs Venezuela's oil revenue without occupying it.
2026-08-13 · 14 min read
Ukraine says drones disabled 42% of Russian refining capacity in 2026, and satellite analysis broadly backs it. Why Moscow extended its fuel export ban.
2026-08-03 · 6 min read
Trump says a deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz is close. Oil prices, travel advisories, and Tehran's crackdown say the war isn't actually over.
2026-08-02 · 6 min read
Six months after the strikes that killed Iran's Supreme Leader, the ceasefire is fragile, the nuclear question is unresolved, and Hormuz is still contested.
2026-08-02 · 12 min read
Six months after the US captured Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela has a new acting president and the same repression, rigged elections, and humanitarian crisis.
2026-07-31 · 7 min read
Zelenskyy just swapped his prime minister for an energy executive and triggered a defense-ministry scandal. Here's the real bet behind Ukraine's reshuffle.
2026-07-30 · 6 min read
The Houthis have opened a second maritime front against Saudi Arabia while Iran keeps attacking tankers in Hormuz. What it means for oil, Gulf politics, and the war's endgame.
2026-07-29 · 7 min read