Seven drone makers in 2022. Around 500 now. Four million units produced in 2025, seven million targeted for 2026 — the fastest defence-industrial scale-up on record.
Leopard 2 armour was never penetrated frontally — 57% of the 2A6 tranche was still lost. A verdict on Western systems by what the evidence actually shows.
A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
A $400 drone kills a $4.5 million tank. Russia plans 7.3 million FPVs in 2026. The full cost-exchange arithmetic that now governs every defence budget.
Finland kept 1,500 guns while the rest of Europe divested. Ukraine proved it right. Why artillery — not air power, not armour — still decides ground war.
2027 is not an invasion date. It is a capability target — and the distinction is the most misreported thing in defence. What the Pentagon report actually says.
Defense industry guide to autonomous weapons policy — DoD Directive 3000.09, the FY2026 NDAA waiver provision, UN CCW talks, and compliance implications.
The Replicator initiative and the affordable mass problem — what worked, what didn't, and what scaling attritable autonomous systems actually requires.
Detailed analysis of Russia's most significant weapons — Oreshnik, Kinzhal, Zircon, Poseidon, Su-57, T-14 Armata — and the gap between showcase and production.