Shahed-136: The Drone That Broke Air Defence Budgets
A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
2026-08-29 · 13 min read
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A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
2026-08-29 · 13 min read
Russia spent 65% of Q1 federal revenue on defence. The four-month deficit exceeded all of 2025. Growth forecast cut to 0.4%. The sustainability arithmetic.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
Putin says 700,000 in Ukraine — the same as mid-2024. Contract signings fell 20% year-on-year. Russia adapted its doctrine and hit a recruitment wall.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
A $400 drone kills a $4.5 million tank. Russia plans 7.3 million FPVs in 2026. The full cost-exchange arithmetic that now governs every defence budget.
2026-08-22 · 14 min read
Finland kept 1,500 guns while the rest of Europe divested. Ukraine proved it right. Why artillery — not air power, not armour — still decides ground war.
2026-08-22 · 12 min read
2027 is not an invasion date. It is a capability target — and the distinction is the most misreported thing in defence. What the Pentagon report actually says.
2026-08-21 · 13 min read
Defense industry guide to autonomous weapons policy — DoD Directive 3000.09, the FY2026 NDAA waiver provision, UN CCW talks, and compliance implications.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
The Replicator initiative and the affordable mass problem — what worked, what didn't, and what scaling attritable autonomous systems actually requires.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
Defense acquisition reform in 2026 — SPEED and FoRGED Act provisions, Commercial Solutions Openings, startup pathways, and what actually changed.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
Detailed analysis of Russia's most significant weapons — Oreshnik, Kinzhal, Zircon, Poseidon, Su-57, T-14 Armata — and the gap between showcase and production.
2026-08-06 · 16 min read
Analysis of the USAF Collaborative Combat Aircraft program — YFQ-42, YFQ-44, Increment 2 requirements, production plans, and the autonomous wingman market.
2026-08-05 · 12 min read
Analysis of naval drone warfare — Magura USVs, Black Sea lessons, US production programs, cost-exchange against warships, and the future of surface fleets.
2026-08-05 · 12 min read