rage index ·
RAGE INDEX — 4 October 2026: 86 HIGH
RAGE INDEX carries an 86 HIGH baseline as Yemen fighting and Russian strike warnings lead the daily update; six theaters reviewed with coverage limits.
Region Intelligence
Middle East
Conflict, force posture, energy security, and state competition across the region.
10 intelligence filesLatest update: 29 Aug 2026
RAGE INDEX
Editions whose scored theaters or editorial links reference Middle East.
rage index ·
RAGE INDEX — 3 October 2026: 86 HIGH
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH with a weighted total of 85.70; the edition corrects FlyDubai wording and updates the Hormuz shipping assessment.
rage index ·
RAGE INDEX — 2 October 2026: 86 HIGH
Early-day RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: reported Russian winter strike planning and US–Iran diplomacy, with explicit limits on sourcing and coverage.
rage index ·
RAGE INDEX — 1 October 2026: 86 HIGH
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: US–Iran threats and reported mediation, Kaliningrad nuclear rhetoric and continuing pressure on Ukraine’s energy grid.
rage index ·
RAGE INDEX — 30 September 2026: 86 HIGH
RAGE INDEX at 86 HIGH: Middle East and Eastern Europe escalation tracking, plus a forecast audit resolving four outcomes and correcting the ledger.
rage index ·
RAGE INDEX — 29 September 2026: 86 HIGH
RAGE INDEX holds at 86 HIGH amid a reported Hormuz tanker attack, renewed Kyiv strikes and competing US–Iran statements.
10 intelligence files
Latest intelligence
Relevant topics
RAGE Global · RAGE X Analysis
Shahed-136: The Drone That Broke Air Defence Budgets
A $20,000-$50,000 drone against a $4 million interceptor. 57,000 launched at Ukraine. Now the engine changed — and the cost exchange is being contested back.
2026-08-29 · 13 min read
RAGE Global · Intelligence · Analysis
The Ankara Decoy: How the Secret Service Flew Trump Out of Turkey While Air Force One Became Bait
A surface-to-air missile threat over Ankara triggered a rehearsed presidential deception — a catering truck, a C-32A, and a decoy 747 carrying Cabinet secretaries and the press pool.
2026-08-12 · 9 min read
RAGE Global · Precision Munitions · Analysis
Loitering Munitions in 2026: Programs, Economics, and Market Analysis
Analysis of the loitering munitions market: Switchblade, Lancet, Shahed-136, LASSO procurement, unit economics, and a $13B market forecast by 2030.
2026-08-05 · 13 min read
RAGE Global · RAGE X Analysis · Developing
The Stockpile Question: What Depleted ATACMS and PrSM Reserves Actually Signal
Reuters reports the US has used 'virtually all' of its ATACMS and PrSM missiles after five months of war with Iran. Why it's a readiness story, not a supply story.
2026-08-04 · 6 min read
RAGE Global · RAGE X Analysis · Confirmed
Beirut Port, Six Years On: A Thousand-Page File and Zero Indictments
Six years after the Beirut port blast: 220+ dead, 70 defendants, a 1,000-page file referred in March 2026 — and still no indictment issued.
2026-08-04 · 14 min read
RAGE Global · RAGE X Analysis · Confirmed
US Military Bases in the Middle East: The Full List, and What 2026 Broke
Nineteen sites, ten countries, all inside Iran's missile envelope. What Operation Epic Fury did to the US base network — and where the posture goes next.
2026-08-03 · 16 min read
RAGE Global · Conflict File · Developing
The Strikes Paused. The Risk Premium Didn't
Trump says a deal reopening the Strait of Hormuz is close. Oil prices, travel advisories, and Tehran's crackdown say the war isn't actually over.
2026-08-02 · 6 min read
RAGE Global · Conflict File · Developing
Rome, Round Two: Can the Lebanon–Israel Framework Survive Its First Real Test?
Lebanon and Israel return to Rome on August 4 to expand the pilot-zone framework. What's on the table — and why disarmament is the deal's real fault line.
2026-08-02 · 6 min read
RAGE Global · Explainer · Confirmed
Where the US–Iran War Actually Stands, Six Months In
Six months after the strikes that killed Iran's Supreme Leader, the ceasefire is fragile, the nuclear question is unresolved, and Hormuz is still contested.
2026-08-02 · 12 min read
RAGE Global · Conflict File · Developing
Two Chokepoints, One War: What the Houthi Blockade on Saudi Arabia Really Signals
The Houthis have opened a second maritime front against Saudi Arabia while Iran keeps attacking tankers in Hormuz. What it means for oil, Gulf politics, and the war's endgame.
2026-07-29 · 7 min read