Western Weapons in Ukraine: What Worked and What Didn't
Leopard 2 armour was never penetrated frontally — 57% of the 2A6 tranche was still lost. A verdict on Western systems by what the evidence actually shows.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Region Intelligence
Defense, security, and geopolitical change across North and South America.
Leopard 2 armour was never penetrated frontally — 57% of the 2A6 tranche was still lost. A verdict on Western systems by what the evidence actually shows.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Ukraine intercepts 87% of drones and 15% of ballistic missiles. The Patriots ran out on 1 July. The interceptor drone is now the load-bearing pillar.
2026-09-02 · 12 min read
Most "AI swarm" claims describe automation, not autonomy. CSIS found no verifiable evidence Russian swarming has been fielded. What has been, and what hasn't.
2026-08-29 · 12 min read
New START expired in February 2026. The 2024 doctrine lowered the threshold. What the text actually says, what the signalling is for, and where the limits are.
2026-08-28 · 12 min read
Jammers, guns, missiles, lasers, nets. Every counter-drone layer fails somewhere, and the ones that work lose the cost exchange. The honest scorecard.
2026-08-22 · 13 min read
2027 is not an invasion date. It is a capability target — and the distinction is the most misreported thing in defence. What the Pentagon report actually says.
2026-08-21 · 13 min read
The AC-130J Ghostrider is the most capable gunship ever fielded — and it arrived as the permissive airspace it was built for disappeared. Full analysis.
2026-08-13 · 11 min read
The raid took 150 minutes. The control mechanism that followed is a US Treasury custody account — how Washington runs Venezuela's oil revenue without occupying it.
2026-08-13 · 14 min read
A surface-to-air missile threat over Ankara triggered a rehearsed presidential deception — a catering truck, a C-32A, and a decoy 747 carrying Cabinet secretaries and the press pool.
2026-08-12 · 9 min read
Defense industry guide to autonomous weapons policy — DoD Directive 3000.09, the FY2026 NDAA waiver provision, UN CCW talks, and compliance implications.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
Analysis of counterspace weapons — kinetic ASAT, electronic warfare, co-orbital threats, Golden Dome space-based interceptors, and the militarization of orbit.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read
The Replicator initiative and the affordable mass problem — what worked, what didn't, and what scaling attritable autonomous systems actually requires.
2026-08-06 · 12 min read